TRANSPARENCY

About
Methodology and Sources

Discover the approach, sources and limitations of our prospective analysis on the Bardella 2027 hypothesis.

Project presentation

This website offers a factual prospective analysis of the hypothesis of Jordan Bardella's victory in the 2027 presidential election. It is neither an activist site nor an opinion site, but an information tool based on verifiable data and recognized sources.

The objective is to enable citizens to form an informed opinion by accessing a structured synthesis of polls, expert analyses, programmatic positions and potential consequences of such an election.

This project is independent and receives no political funding. It is part of an approach of transparency and intellectual rigor, clearly distinguishing proven facts from projections and hypotheses.

Methodology

Analytical approach

We cross-reference data from multiple sources (polls, press, research institutes) to avoid bias and offer a balanced view. Each statement is sourced and verifiable.

Data processing

Polls are presented with their dates, sources and margins of error. Projections are clearly identified as such and accompanied by their limitations.

Sources used

Polling institutes
  • Odoxa-Mascaret
  • Elabe
  • Ipsos
  • Ifop
  • Harris Interactive
Media and press
  • Le Monde
  • Le Figaro
  • Les Échos
  • Mediapart
  • Public Sénat
  • Reuters
  • Politico
Research institutes
  • Fondation Jean-Jaurès
  • Institut Montaigne
  • OFCE
  • iFRAP
  • ECFR

Limitations and warnings

1. Temporal uncertainty

The polls and projections presented are conducted 18 months before the election. French electoral history shows that dynamics can reverse rapidly during official campaigns.

2. Prospective nature

The analyses of potential consequences (Economy, Institutions, Europe sections) are scenarios based on the announced program and expert analyses, not certain predictions.

3. Necessary simplification

For readability reasons, some complex analyses are synthesized. Complete sources allow for deeper exploration of each topic.

4. Continuous evolution

The political context evolves rapidly. This site is updated regularly but may not reflect the very latest developments.

Legal notices

This site is an independent information project. It does not constitute a press organ within the meaning of the law of July 29, 1881.

The contents presented are protected by copyright. Any reproduction, even partial, must be subject to prior authorization.

Personal data is not collected. This site does not use advertising tracking cookies.

Contact

For any question, suggestion or error report, you can contact us via social networks or by email.